Google Me – quick thoughts for and against…

So the rumours are building about the ‘Facebook killer’ being worked on at Google. And whenever there are big rumours, the blogosphere rushes to comment. For example, Mike Arrington argues Google should clone Facebook, Kim-Mai Cutler argues the opposite.

My own thoughts are mixed, but I’ve had a couple of ideas which I don’t seem to have seen elsewhere:

For Google:

  • Android. 5 million activations a month, a focus on mobile first (as said by Eric Schmidt), and working across mobiles and the merging tablet market (in terms of tablets now getting mainstream coverage and adoption post iPad).
  • Data knowledge. They might not have completely aced social search and the social graph yet, but they’re used to working with humungous data sets.
  • Understanding the need for users to own their own data, as shown by the ‘Data Liberation Front’
  • Adsense – allowing users to instantly monetise with a proven model.
  • Does it have to beat Facebook? With Google Me and the rumoured Google Music, perhaps picking up ex-Myspace users is a better first step. If it can pick up people leaving Myspace and Facebook, social networks become a two horse race, with Google in the game.
  • Location – combining social graph with location-based apps and great mapping software.

Against Google:

  • Previous approaches haven’t resulted in great design and usability.
  • Fragmented approach with Google Profiles, Google Buzz, Googlemail, Orkut, etc.
  • Orkut has had success in some territories, but is up against Facebook and a global reach of 500 million +
  • Remember their interest in Jaiku as a Twitter rival?
  • Google Buzz being shoe-horned into Googlemail, and the privacy uproar it created.
  • Mainstream social network users aren’t showing a huge global response to privacy concerns yet.

That’s pretty much a summary so far. When it comes to whether or not Google can create something that will succeed, none of us can possibly tell until we see a product actually launching. But what we can see is that Google has some significant advantages in the market which it has so far failed to utilise for Google Buzz, Orkut or Jaiku, but which could transform any new product.

The global economy, advertising and blogging

I’ve been having a lot of conversations about advertising recently, whether the subject is relevancy, media publishers, or bloggers.

Another Crap Advert by Zohar Manor-Abel on Flickr (CC Licence)

Another Crap Advert by Zohar Manor-Abel on Flickr (CC Licence)

It’s something that the current economic climate has definitely driven to the front of the minds of a lot of people, as they look to the future.

One of the things that struck me is how a downturn in advertising might affect my blogging here and on 140char.com, and then I happened to come across an interesting post by Steve Hodson about Paid Blogging.

I’m lucky enough to have a job I really enjoy, and didn’t start blogging as a way to earn an extra income – for me the intangible benefits are the ones I enjoy, whether it’s sharing ideas, meeting new people, or possibly being able to be involved in new opportunities etc.

But at the same time, I do run Google Adsense advertising on both blogs, along with Amazon Affiliate links in the hope that I can cover my hosting costs, and then spend anything extra on books and gadgets. Plus, it means I have some understanding of how they work if I ever want to consider using them for other projects.

Steve’s post outlines his frustration at being told the advertising model is broken, particularly for an up-and-coming blogger, and yet the alternative revenues that are suggested don’t seem to provide an alternative.

The trouble is that none of the popular internet movements or theories points to a redistribution of wealth necessarily.

Open Source means free as in ‘free speech’, not ‘free beer’.

The Long Tail doesn’t say you can be rich existing in the long tail of content. The success stories are the aggregators, or those that can make it far enough up the tail to make the living they require or aspire to.

Web 2.0 allows you to communicate, collaborate and connect, but some people will gain more from this financially than others.

And too often we miss the fact that many successful people within paid blogging have several projects and revenue streams going on at once, if not hundreds in some cases.

There’s a feeling that by putting hard work into something we’re entitled to get fair payment for our efforts and get the payoff at the end – something that often isn’t true.

Which is why it’s about focusing on making the most of the journey.

And I do disagree with him that bloggers can’t make money from revenue streams aside from advertising. But again, not everyone who self-publishes a book, releases an E-Book, or produces blog-related merchandise will be successful – and we’re still at an evolutionary time for online content and revenue, and for advertiser adoption. But by offering the best possible value proposition for anything you try to monetise, you stand the best possible chance of making it.

And I think 2009 will be a tipping point for new mechanisms of advertising/revenue. Whether it’s from people looking to improve the result for content creators and publishers ( for instance, tools to create your own revenue share and blog network), or improving things for the recipients of revenue efforts.

But I really don’t have the answers here. If I did, I’d have retired to my own island by now! But what I’m really interested is in your opinions, questions and ideas. So how can blogging content creators thrive, and how would/do you monetise it?

What wouldn’t Google do?

I’m looking forward to seeing the new book by Jeff Jarvis, ‘What Would Google Do‘, where he reverse-engineers Google and applies the learnings to a variety of different industries.

It’ll definitely be interesting, and I certainly mean no disrespect to his work, but as a purely external observer of the big G, it seems like my own version would be the shortest book in history.

What would Google do? Pretty much everything they could – and then see what works, what gets popular, and what they can monetise – The End!

There’s a great case in point emerging as Google experiments in wringing more from Adsense – for example Adsense in Flash games, Adsense in Google Maps, Click-to-buy on Youtube, Adsense in RSS etc, and now an Adsense search box and adverts for pages of Adsense adverts.

Meanwhile they’ve got enough projects on the go to shake a web pointer at in Google Labs. And that doesn’t even list other properties like Orkut. Which, according to a great global map of social networks by Oxyweb (hat tip to Nick O’Neil) is still ruling the roost in India and Brazil.

Click to see the Oxyweb global social network map in full

Click to see the Oxyweb global social network map in full

And then there’s acquisitions. I don’t even know how many they’ve made over recent years, but certainly they include the likes of Blogger, which I still use for some projects and ideas despite preferring WordPress now, and Feedburner.

And if you want to see what happens when a Google acquisition doesn’t result in transformational change to a service (and possibly even a downturn in terms of reliability and usability), just keep an eye on a Twitter Search for Feedburner!

And then there’s Google Analytics, Web Optimizer, Google Reader, Gmail, iGoogle, and I can’t even keep up linking to each product!

‘To me, Google appears to differ from most large companies by being almost liquid or gaseous in slipping itself into whatever shape or gap is necessary to permeate into every part of our digital lives (including mobile). And it does it by doing every possible permutation and leaving what works in place’

I think that probably sums up my approach to answering What Would Google Do? But I’m looking to see what Jeff Jarvis has used for his take in the actual book!